November 13, 2011

Infrastructure is still Where It is at Today



Amazon's "Other" revenue

The official number is not available. But, as the biggest public Cloud infrastructure
provider, it is a topic of intense speculation. Here is a credible analysis: AWS is worth approximately $1 billion with a 100% compound annual growth rate (CAGR).

Step 1 in Rackspace's OpenStack masterplan: Private Edition

As described by Rackspace's CTO, OpenStack is a way for it to offer its Cloud management services. So, it is not a surprise to see Rackspace Cloud: Private Edition being offers through partners such as Equinix, OpsCode, RightScale, Cisco and Dell.

What would be equally interesting to find out is how would be the revenue and workload be shared.

SME is the game

I often have to remind myself that technology too is its own bubble. As compelling as Cloud Cloud could be, it is important to see if the rest of the world sees the same value.

So, it is a good thing to see that BestBuy is responding to competitive pressure by bulking up on the Cloud front. Its plan, according to the report, is to provide a richer offer to its SME customers because its showroom has become a retail extension for retail buyers looking to buy at Amazon. (Gulp! That really sucks for BestBuy.)

New biz-model through the Cloud

Instead of the time honored perpetual seat license of the package software, Cloud promises on-going recurring revenue through subscription to vendors. That is the good news, potentially larger total revenue over time. What is not obvious to me as claimed by the Wharton analysis is that Cloud would enable a more diverse ecosystem with many more smaller players.

It is true that, at its current stage of development, most of the Cloud players are small relative to its on-premise peer and most of them compete by collaborating with other smaller vendors. But, this feels like a transition than a new state of things. After all, there is nothing particularly anti-monopolistic about a subscription biz-model. If anything, it would probably enhances the winner takes all model.


Related entries:

* An estimates on how much revenue AWS is taking in this year http://cloudscaling.com/blog/cloud-computing/amzn-other-revenue-in-2011

* Rackspace Cloud: Private Edition: http://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2011/11/10/rackspace-launches-openstack-private-cloud/

* BestBuy's $167 million Cloud strategy: http://www.fiercetelecom.com/story/cloud-service-acquisitions-gain-momentum-and-everyones-jumping-board/2011-11-09?utm_medium=nl&utm_source=internal

* Cloud's new pricing model: http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2872

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